Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.052107 1.263151 1.528367 1.895293 2.405585 3.116906 4.238219
2026-01-11 0.762569 0.995844 1.330912 1.878837 2.827524 4.595245 8.847812
2026-01-18 0.603990 0.828762 1.179119 1.819285 3.122394 6.237915 18.193141
2026-01-25 0.519619 0.741049 1.109586 1.849637 3.600110 9.063928 50.785456
2026-02-01 0.466569 0.687488 1.076668 1.928471 4.266460 14.211385 320.176819
2026-02-08 0.417010 0.628607 1.016707 1.922127 4.720411 20.649697 951049.675263
2026-02-15 0.373087 0.571514 0.946124 1.862297 4.969773 28.056919 NaN
2026-02-22 0.348925 0.545579 0.930972 1.934721 5.819420 51.559601 NaN
2026-03-01 0.323555 0.513458 0.895931 1.940518 6.436864 91.932253 NaN
2026-03-08 0.298072 0.477768 0.846480 1.887353 6.730937 151.328885 NaN
2026-03-15 0.278184 0.450516 0.811034 1.865138 7.213786 319.533752 NaN
2026-03-22 0.270858 0.446913 0.828497 2.020363 9.224370 11285.058352 NaN
2026-03-29 0.259404 0.433976 0.822548 2.100080 11.058155 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.244996 0.413461 0.794838 2.091294 12.175514 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.229707 0.389648 0.755364 2.023710 12.553024 NaN NaN
2026-04-19 0.220132 0.376999 0.742493 2.059545 14.529342 NaN NaN
2026-04-26 0.213423 0.369779 0.742561 2.151923 18.118235 NaN NaN
2026-05-03 0.203912 0.355566 0.721783 2.144500 20.137489 NaN NaN
2026-05-10 0.193289 0.338069 0.689826 2.074440 20.587408 NaN NaN
2026-05-17 0.188205 0.332432 0.689865 2.159273 26.079805 NaN NaN
2026-05-24 0.181281 0.322086 0.675220 2.166073 29.853182 NaN NaN
2026-05-31 0.173078 0.308264 0.648999 2.103763 30.751438 NaN NaN
2026-06-07 0.166413 0.297522 0.630554 2.077765 33.447777 NaN NaN